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Italy | Serie A | Torino - Inter | 26.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Torino 1:2 Inter
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 9 1 8 4 - - - - 2.85 1.38
Away 2 0 0 12 5 7 4 - 3 1.4 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
41 7 1.11 6.5 1.1 1 - - - - - - 1.98 1.88
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.0% | EV +94.0% | ROI +47.0% | n=56 | k=2.85
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +11.9% | EV +16.3% | ROI +20.3% | n=56 | k=1.38
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.7% | EV -6.9% | ROI -2.9% | n=56 | k=1.88
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -17.9% | EV -53.7% | ROI -62.5% | n=56 | k=3.00
AI-agent: At 78 minutes with Torino trailing 1-2 to Inter, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 68% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Inter, the pre-match favorite, maintains shot dominance, but Torino is applying pressure in the recent phase. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1 handicap on Torino with a 72% win probability and a strong ROI of 47%, confirmed by a solid sample of 56 matches. The model identifies a promising +1 handicap on Torino with a 33% edge and 94% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet due to the match tempo and score dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the +1 handicap on Torino rather than placing a bet now, indicating a watchful approach rather than a mandatory entry to manage risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378202 | minute: 78