Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	2.67	2.1	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.77	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	3.6	6.5	1.11	1.25	2.25	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.25	1.62	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.5% | EV +37.0% | ROI +52.3% | n=1461 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.8% | EV +15.7% | ROI +39.9% | n=1461 | k=1.77

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.0% | EV +10.9% | ROI +22.2% | n=1461 | k=3.60

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.4% | ROI +14.6% | n=1461 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 25 minutes into the match between Atalanta and Genoa, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows strong pressure favoring a draw, with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase has seen Atalanta applying more pressure, but both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting. Historical data supports a double chance on X2 (draw or away win) with a 67.7% probability and a solid ROI of 52.3%. The model indicates a positive edge of +16.5% and an expected value of +37.0% for this bet, but entry conditions are not yet met based on current score, tempo, and stats. Top-4 markets suggest watching the X2 option carefully as the best bet, alongside other cautious plays like AH away +1 and under 1.5 goals. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and patience for a clearer entry signal.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 25