Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	2.35	2.38	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	1.55	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.25	6	1.12	1.33	2	1.12	6	1.57	2.35	2.75	1.44	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +13.9% | EV +21.9% | ROI +41.0% | n=1126 | k=1.57

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +15.2% | EV +91.2% | ROI +97.2% | n=1126 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.2% | EV +30.5% | ROI +40.1% | n=1126 | k=2.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.7% | EV +15.1% | ROI +28.1% | n=1126 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At 35 minutes in the Atalanta vs Genoa match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play without clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, showing an 89.5% success rate and 41% ROI over 1126 matches, which aligns with the current model signal offering a 13.9% edge and 21.9% expected value at odds of 1.57. Although the position on AH_AWAY+1.5 is already open or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best bet with controlled risk. Other top markets suggest watching the away win, double chance X2, or AH_AWAY+1, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory new entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 35