Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	2.35	2.85	1.25	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	1	-	-	-	3.8	1.4	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.83	2.88	6	1.12	1.36	1.83	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4.33	1.22	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +18.7% | EV +29.4% | ROI +45.1% | n=762 | k=1.57

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +14.5% | EV +86.8% | ROI +85.0% | n=762 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.4% | EV +24.6% | ROI +32.1% | n=762 | k=1.83

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.8% | EV +10.9% | ROI +20.9% | n=762 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 48 minutes in a 0-0 match between Atalanta and Genoa, the market strongly supports a draw, with odds dropping 37% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. Atalanta leads in shots and tempo, showing more activity than Genoa, consistent with recent head-to-head trends, although historical data for this exact situation is limited. The model confirms a strong edge on the away handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.57, with an expected value of +29.4% and ROI of +45.1%, based on 762 similar matches. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already covered in the portfolio. The top recommendation is to back AH_AWAY+1.5 with risk control, while other options like backing the away team or double chance are under watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 48