Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	11	6	5	3	-	2.35	1.82	1.21	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	4.25	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.6	1.73	10	1.06	2	1.44	1.95	1.9	6.5	1.11	21	1.01	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +43.1% | ROI +50.6% | n=363 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.1% | EV +81.3% | ROI +79.2% | n=363 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +43.0% | n=363 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +16.9% | EV +32.9% | ROI -1.2% | n=363 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 75 minutes in a goalless match between Atalanta and Genoa, the market strongly supports a draw with odds dropping 63% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. Atalanta has been more active in shots and overall play, especially in the recent phase, but the score remains 0-0. Historical data favors the away handicap +1.5 with a high win rate of 95.6% and a solid ROI of 50.6%, confirmed by the model with an edge of +27.4% and expected value of +43.1%. Although the model signals a strong bet on AH_AWAY+1.5 at odds 1.57, no new position is opened as this bet is already covered in the portfolio. This is a good opportunity to monitor the match closely, considering the favorable statistics and market signals, but with prudent risk management given the current scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 75