Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	7	9	4	-	2.35	1.82	1.26	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	3.7	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	1.53	10	1.06	2.38	1.33	2.35	1.62	11	1.05	1.67	2.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.5% | EV +43.4% | ROI +51.1% | n=320 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +43.2% | EV +95.1% | ROI +98.7% | n=320 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.8% | EV +82.6% | ROI +81.1% | n=320 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +42.0% | n=320 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 80 minutes in this Serie A match between Atalanta and Genoa, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, with the odds for this outcome dropping by 67% from pre-match levels. Atalanta has been more active in shots and overall play, especially in the recent phase, but the historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, winning 95.9% of similar cases with a high ROI of 51.1%. The model confirms this bet with an edge of +27.5% and expected value of +43.4%, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on the away handicap +1.5 at 1.57 odds, offering a favorable risk-reward profile. Other markets like under 2.5 goals or away handicap +1 are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 80