Match Replay

Step 51 of 60. Current minute: 80 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 51 of 60 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	7	9	4	-	2.35	1.82	1.25	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	3.8	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	1.44	12	1.04	2.62	1.25	2.7	1.48	17	1.02	1.67	2.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.5% | EV +43.4% | ROI +51.1% | n=320 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +43.2% | EV +95.1% | ROI +98.7% | n=320 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +41.0% | EV +83.1% | ROI +81.1% | n=320 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +23.4% | EV +63.3% | ROI +19.8% | n=320 | k=2.70

AI-agent: At 80 minutes in this Serie A match between Atalanta and Genoa, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting a balanced but slightly Atalanta-favored game based on shots and tempo. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, with a high win rate and ROI, and the model confirms this with a +27.5% edge and +43.4% expected value at odds of 1.57. Although the position on AH_AWAY+1.5 is already open or covered, this remains the best bet opportunity here. Other markets like under 2.5 goals and AH_AWAY+1 show promise but are currently watch-only, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry. The historical check is solid, and the risk is controlled by focusing on the handicap market with proven value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 80