Match Replay

Step 55 of 60. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	7	9	4	-	2.35	1.82	1.45	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	2.8	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8	1.14	15	1.03	5.5	1.08	5.3	1.16	1.2	4.5	1.67	2.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.9% | EV +43.9% | ROI +51.2% | n=277 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +59.9% | EV +269.7% | ROI +262.3% | n=277 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +43.2% | EV +95.1% | ROI +95.4% | n=277 | k=2.20

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +42.0% | EV +85.0% | ROI +83.7% | n=277 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 86 minutes, the score remains 0-0 between Atalanta and Genoa, with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 74% drop in odds from pre-match levels, but the home team is more active in shots and tempo, especially in the final phase. Historical data supports a bet on the away handicap +1.5, showing a 96% win rate and a strong ROI of 51.2%. The model confirms this with an edge of +27.9% and expected value of +43.9%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back AH_AWAY+1.5 at odds of 1.57, balancing good value with risk control. Other markets like under 1.5 or 2.5 goals are watch-only, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 86