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Italy | Serie A | Atalanta - Genoa | 02.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 75'   —   Atalanta 0:0 Genoa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 11 6 5 3 - 2.35 1.82 1.2 - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 1 - - - 4.4 2.02 1.57
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.5 1.8 10 1.06 1.91 1.5 1.9 1.95 6 1.12 21 1.01 2.62 1.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +43.1% | ROI +50.6% | n=363 | k=1.57
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.0% | EV +81.0% | ROI +79.2% | n=363 | k=2.02
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +43.0% | n=363 | k=1.50
4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +16.1% | EV +30.5% | ROI -3.7% | n=363 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At 75 minutes, the match between Atalanta and Genoa remains goalless, with market pressure clearly favoring the draw as the odds have dropped 63% from pre-match levels. Atalanta shows more attacking activity, especially in the recent phase, but the historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, with a 95.6% win rate and a 50.6% ROI over 363 matches. The model confirms this with a +27.4% edge and +43.1% expected value at odds of 1.57, though no new bet is opened since this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Genoa +1.5 handicap, balancing risk with solid historical and market backing, while other markets like AH +1, under 3.5 goals, and over 0.5 goals remain watch-only for now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 75