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Italy | Serie A | Atalanta - Genoa | 02.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 75'   —   Atalanta 0:0 Genoa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 12 7 5 4 - 2.35 1.82 1.24 - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 1 - - - 3.9 2.02 1.57
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.75 1.73 9.5 1.06 2 1.4 2.02 1.82 7 1.1 23 1.01 2.62 1.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +43.1% | ROI +50.6% | n=363 | k=1.57
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.3% | EV +81.5% | ROI +79.2% | n=363 | k=2.02
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +43.0% | n=363 | k=1.50
4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +17.9% | EV +36.2% | ROI +2.6% | n=363 | k=2.02
AI-agent: At 75 minutes, the match between Atalanta and Genoa remains goalless, with market pressure favoring a draw but showing strong support for the away handicap +1.5. Atalanta leads in shots and tempo, yet Genoa benefits from a historically reliable +1.5 away handicap, winning over 95% of similar cases with a high ROI of 50.6%. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +27.4% and expected value of +43.1%, though no new position is opened as this bet is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is AH_AWAY+1.5 with controlled risk, while other options like AH_AWAY+1 and under 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 75