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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	7	9	4	-	2.35	1.82	1.24	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	3.9	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.33	15	1.03	3.25	1.22	3.1	1.38	21	1.01	1.67	2.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.6% | EV +43.5% | ROI +51.2% | n=277 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +43.2% | EV +95.1% | ROI +95.4% | n=277 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +41.3% | EV +83.6% | ROI +83.7% | n=277 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +24.8% | EV +77.0% | ROI +14.2% | n=277 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At 86 minutes, the match between Atalanta and Genoa remains goalless with a balanced but slightly Atalanta-favored tempo. Market pressure strongly supports a draw, with the odds for this outcome dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the away handicap +1.5, showing a 96% win rate and a high ROI of 51.2%. The model confirms this with a positive edge of +27.6% and expected value of +43.5%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on the away handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.57, offering a good balance of risk and reward. Other markets like under 2.5 goals and away handicap +1 are worth watching but not mandatory entries now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 86