Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.75	3.5	1.28	1.4	1.5	1.17	5	1.73	2.08	3.4	1.33	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +20.2% | ROI +0.5% | n=759 | k=3.50

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.0% | ROI -0.6% | n=759 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -7.3% | ROI +3.3% | n=759 | k=2.08

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.6% | EV -4.6% | ROI -13.4% | n=759 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 25 minutes into the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw with odds dropping 11% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also stood 0-0 at this stage before finishing 0-2 to Cagliari. Historical data from 759 similar matches shows a modest edge for an away win (28.7% probability, ROI +0.5%), and the model suggests backing Cagliari at 3.50 odds with a 5.8% edge and 20.2% expected value. However, since the edge is just below the 6% threshold, this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring is advised to control risk and confirm entry conditions before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 25