Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	-	-	-	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.38	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	2.62	3.75	1.25	1.44	1.53	1.2	4.5	1.9	1.95	4	1.25	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.5% | EV +20.7% | ROI +2.8% | n=660 | k=3.75

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +2.9% | n=660 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.2% | ROI +4.3% | n=660 | k=1.95

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.4% | ROI -11.6% | n=660 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At 32 minutes in a goalless match between Bologna and Cagliari, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 15% from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, but the score remains level. Historical data from 660 similar matches suggests a 27.4% chance for an away win with a modest positive ROI of 2.8%, confirming the model's edge of +5.5% and an expected value of +20.7%. However, the edge is slightly below the minimum threshold for a confident bet, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry. Risk control advises monitoring the away win opportunity while avoiding other bets like double chance or under/over 1.5 goals due to negative expected values.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 32