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Match Replay

Step 33 of 95. Current minute: 36 .
Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 36'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 2 1 3 - - - 1.57 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.4 2.6 3.75 1.25 1.44 1.5 1.22 4.33 2 1.85 4 1.25 10 1.06
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +20.8% | ROI +2.7% | n=606 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.3% | ROI +1.0% | n=606 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -5.3% | ROI +4.7% | n=606 | k=1.85
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.4% | ROI -13.2% | n=606 | k=2.00
AI-agent: At 36 minutes in a goalless match between Bologna and Cagliari, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and game activity, but the historical pattern favors an away win with a 27.4% probability and positive ROI of 2.7%, based on 606 similar matches. The model suggests betting on an away win with an edge of +5.6% and an expected value of +20.8%, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold for opening a bet. Therefore, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control advised given the current market and historical context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 36