Match Replay

Step 36 of 95. Current minute: 39 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	2	2	4	-	-	-	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	2.6	3.6	1.25	1.44	1.5	1.25	4	2.05	1.8	4.33	1.22	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +20.9% | ROI +1.6% | n=567 | k=3.60

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.2% | ROI +2.4% | n=567 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -5.5% | ROI +7.0% | n=567 | k=1.80

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.7% | ROI -16.8% | n=567 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At 39 minutes in a goalless match between Bologna and Cagliari, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and tempo recently, but overall the game remains balanced. Historical data from 567 similar matches indicates a slight edge for an away win (Cagliari) with a 28.2% probability and a modest ROI of 1.6%. The model favors the away win with a 5.8% edge and 20.9% expected value, but this is just below the threshold to place a bet. Thus, this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the current dynamics and historical context.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 39