Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	-	-	-	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.6	2.38	4	1.22	1.53	1.44	1.33	3.4	2.35	1.57	5.5	1.14	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.7% | EV +22.9% | ROI +11.0% | n=490 | k=4.00

2) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.2% | EV -1.8% | ROI -13.3% | n=490 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.3% | EV -6.8% | ROI -0.7% | n=490 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.0% | ROI -13.2% | n=490 | k=2.35

AI-agent: At the 45th minute of Bologna vs Cagliari, the market strongly favors a draw with a 23% drop in odds from pre-match, showing clear market pressure. The game is balanced but Bologna leads in shots and tempo recently. Historically, similar situations show a 27.8% chance of an away win with a positive ROI of 11%, confirmed by a solid sample of 490 matches. The best model suggestion is an away win at odds 4.00 with an edge of +5.7% and EV +22.9%, but the edge is just below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. The top-4 markets recommend watching this opportunity rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase with some potential but requiring caution and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 45