Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.38	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	2.88	3.6	1.25	1.36	1.53	1.12	6	1.5	2.5	2.6	1.48	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +21.1% | ROI +15.0% | n=1168 | k=3.60

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.6% | ROI -0.6% | n=1168 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.2% | ROI -6.0% | n=1168 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -8.0% | ROI -6.7% | n=1168 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 7 minutes into the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting an even game tempo and no dominant side in shots or pressure. Historical data from 1168 similar matches shows a 31.9% probability and 15% ROI favoring an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 3.13. The model identifies an edge of +5.8% and an expected value of +21.1% for an away win at odds of 3.60, but this edge is just below the minimum threshold of +6.0%, so no bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring situation where the away win is the best candidate, but risk control suggests waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 7