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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 20'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.38 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.3 2.75 3.6 1.25 1.4 1.53 1.17 5 1.68 2.15 3.2 1.36 6.5 1.11
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.4% | EV +19.5% | ROI +6.2% | n=854 | k=3.60
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.9% | ROI +0.2% | n=854 | k=1.53
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -7.4% | ROI +0.7% | n=854 | k=2.15
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -4.6% | ROI -11.0% | n=854 | k=1.68
AI-agent: At the 20th minute of the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 11% from pre-match levels, indicating balanced play without clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from 854 similar cases shows a 29.5% chance of an away win with a positive ROI of 6.2%, and the model suggests betting on the away win with an edge of +5.4% and EV of +19.5%. However, since the edge is slightly below the 6.0% threshold, this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. The top-4 markets confirm this cautious stance, recommending monitoring the away win opportunity while avoiding other bets to manage risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 20