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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	2.75	3.6	1.25	1.4	1.53	1.17	5	1.68	2.15	3.2	1.36	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +20.9% | ROI +7.3% | n=819 | k=3.60

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +1.3% | n=819 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -7.4% | ROI +3.4% | n=819 | k=2.15

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -4.6% | ROI -13.1% | n=819 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw with odds dropping 11% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their previous encounter on 19.10.2025, which ended 0-2 in favor of Cagliari. Historical data from 819 similar matches shows a 29.8% probability of an away win with a positive ROI of 7.3%, confirming a fair value odds of 3.36. The model suggests a potential bet on an away win at odds of 3.60 with an edge of +5.8% and expected value of +20.9%, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold of 6.0%, so no bet is recommended yet. This is a monitoring situation where the away win is the best candidate, but caution and risk control are advised before entering the market.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 22