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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 30'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 1 1 3 - - - 1.6 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.3 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.4 2.75 3.6 1.25 1.4 1.5 1.2 4.5 1.82 2.02 3.5 1.3 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.9% | EV +21.3% | ROI -1.1% | n=688 | k=3.60
2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.5% | ROI +6.5% | n=688 | k=2.02
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.5% | ROI -0.4% | n=688 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.7% | ROI -13.5% | n=688 | k=1.82
AI-agent: At the 30th minute of the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 11% from pre-match levels, but the home team shows more attacking activity recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 0-2 in favor of Cagliari. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a strong edge, showing a slight negative ROI. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at odds of 3.60 with a positive edge of 5.9% and expected value of +21.3%, but this edge is just below the threshold to open a bet. The current recommendation is to watch the away win opportunity carefully without committing to a bet yet, as the situation requires further confirmation and risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 30