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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 34'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 1 1 3 - - - 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.38 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.38 2.62 3.75 1.25 1.44 1.53 1.22 4.33 1.93 1.93 4 1.25 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.5% | EV +20.7% | ROI +1.9% | n=633 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +2.7% | n=633 | k=1.53
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.2% | ROI +5.2% | n=633 | k=1.92
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.3% | ROI -12.7% | n=633 | k=1.92
AI-agent: At 34 minutes with a 0-0 scoreline, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 15% from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and has been more active recently, but the game remains balanced. Historical data from 633 similar matches favors an away win with a 27.2% probability and a modest positive ROI of 1.9%, confirming the model's edge of +5.5% and an expected value of +20.7%. However, since the edge is just below the 6.0% threshold, no bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring situation where the away win is the best candidate, but risk control suggests waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a stake.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 34