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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 37'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 2 1 3 - - - 1.57 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.5 2.6 3.75 1.25 1.44 1.5 1.25 4 2.05 1.8 4.33 1.22 10 1.06
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.0% | EV +22.6% | ROI +4.6% | n=588 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.3% | EV -1.9% | ROI +1.5% | n=588 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -5.5% | ROI +4.4% | n=588 | k=1.80
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.7% | ROI -13.9% | n=588 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 37 minutes in this Serie A match between Bologna and Cagliari, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels, yet Bologna shows more attacking activity recently. Historical data from 588 similar matches indicates a 27.9% chance of an away win with a positive ROI of 4.6%, supporting Cagliari's potential to win. The model suggests betting on an away win with an edge of +6.0% and expected value of +22.6%, but the entry conditions are not fully met due to current match tempo and score, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other top markets do not offer value now, so cautious monitoring is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 37