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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 4 - - - 1.6 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.3 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.6 2.4 3.75 1.25 1.5 1.44 1.3 3.5 2.3 1.6 5 1.17 13 1.04
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +20.9% | ROI +4.1% | n=490 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -6.8% | ROI +0.9% | n=490 | k=1.60
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.5% | ROI -15.2% | n=490 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.0% | ROI -15.0% | n=490 | k=2.30
AI-agent: At the 45th minute of the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels, but the home team shows more attacking activity recently. Historical data from 490 similar matches indicates a 27.8% chance of an away win with a positive ROI of 4.1%, supporting Cagliari's potential victory. The model suggests betting on the away win with an edge of +5.6% and expected value of +20.9%, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold of 6%, so no bet is recommended yet. This is a monitoring situation where watching the game further is advised before committing to a wager.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 45