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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 4 - - - 1.57 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.5 2.4 3.75 1.25 1.5 1.5 1.3 3.5 2.3 1.6 5 1.17 13 1.04
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.1% | EV +19.3% | ROI +4.1% | n=490 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.5% | ROI +6.8% | n=490 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -6.8% | ROI +0.9% | n=490 | k=1.60
4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.2% | EV -1.8% | ROI -15.2% | n=490 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the score remains 0-0 between Bologna and Cagliari, with no red cards issued. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, as the odds have dropped by 23% from pre-match levels, reflecting strong market consensus. The home team has been more active in shots and applying pressure recently, yet the historical data shows a slight edge for the away side in similar situations, with a 27.8% win probability and a positive ROI of 4.1%. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at odds of 3.75, with an edge of +5.1% and expected value of +19.3%, but this does not meet the minimum threshold of +6.0% edge to open a position. Therefore, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, and risk should be managed carefully if considering entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 45