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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 4 - - - 1.6 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 1 2 0 - - - 2.3 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.62 2.38 3.75 1.25 1.53 1.44 1.36 3.2 2.42 1.52 5.5 1.14 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.5% | EV +20.8% | ROI +4.1% | n=490 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI -13.3% | n=490 | k=1.53
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.7% | ROI -10.4% | n=490 | k=2.42
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.9% | EV -7.4% | ROI -3.8% | n=490 | k=1.52
AI-agent: At the 45th minute in the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels, but the home side shows more attacking activity, especially in the recent phase. Historical data from 490 similar matches supports an away win with a 27.8% probability and a positive ROI of 4.1%, confirming the model's edge. The best betting option is an away win at 3.75 odds, offering a 5.5% edge and 20.8% expected value; however, the edge is slightly below the minimum threshold for opening a bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite promising indicators.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 45