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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 48'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 5 - - - 1.62 - -
Away 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 - - - 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.75 2.38 3.75 1.25 1.53 1.4 1.33 3.4 2.42 1.52 5.5 1.14 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.0% | EV +22.6% | ROI -0.2% | n=447 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.9% | EV -7.4% | ROI +1.3% | n=447 | k=1.52
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI -16.0% | n=447 | k=1.53
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.7% | ROI -18.6% | n=447 | k=2.42
AI-agent: At the 48th minute with a 0-0 score, the market shows strong support for a draw, reflected by a 23% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and overall activity, though no sustained pressure is evident. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a clear edge, with guest wins at 26.6% probability but negative ROI. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at 3.75 odds with a +6.0% edge and +22.6% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to current match dynamics. This is a watch scenario rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised when considering bets on Cagliari's victory.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 48