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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 51'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 5 - - - 1.65 - -
Away 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 - - - 2.2 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.88 2.2 3.75 1.25 1.61 1.36 1.38 3 2.75 1.43 7 1.1 19 1.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +20.8% | ROI -5.6% | n=405 | k=3.75
2) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.1% | ROI -15.1% | n=405 | k=1.61
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.0% | EV -4.1% | ROI -1.1% | n=405 | k=1.36
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.3% | ROI -15.1% | n=405 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At the 51st minute with a 0-0 scoreline, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels. Bologna leads in shots and overall activity, but no sustained dominance is evident recently. Historically, similar situations favored the away team with a 25.2% probability, yet the negative ROI of -5.6% weakens confidence in this trend. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at 3.75 odds with a positive edge and expected value, but since the edge is slightly below the threshold, this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Given these factors, monitoring the match is advisable without committing to a bet now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 51