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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	-	-	1.65	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	2.3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	2.2	4	1.22	1.61	1.36	1.43	2.75	3	1.38	8	1.08	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +23.3% | ROI +1.6% | n=386 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.6% | ROI -8.1% | n=386 | k=1.42

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.3% | ROI -15.9% | n=386 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -3.8% | ROI -9.1% | n=386 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 53 minutes in a goalless match between Bologna and Cagliari, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels. Bologna has been more active in shots, but no sustained dominance is evident recently. Historically, similar situations favor an away win with a 25.4% probability and a modest positive ROI of 1.6%, confirmed by a solid data sample. The model suggests backing the away win at odds of 4.00 with a 5.8% edge and 23.3% expected value, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold for placing a bet. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away win opportunity rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 53