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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 73'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 10 4 6 6 - - - 1.4 - -
Away 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 - - - 2.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.1 1.73 6.5 1.11 2 1.33 1.98 1.88 6.5 1.11 21 1.01 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +7.0% | EV +13.9% | ROI -13.6% | n=240 | k=1.98
2) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.6% | ROI -25.0% | n=240 | k=2.00
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -4.1% | EV -5.4% | ROI +5.5% | n=240 | k=1.33
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -3.2% | EV -10.0% | ROI -35.4% | n=240 | k=3.10
AI-agent: At the 73rd minute with a 0-0 score, the market strongly favors a draw, reflecting a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels and clear market pressure. Bologna leads in shots and has been more active recently, though the game remains balanced. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a high success rate (96.7%) and positive ROI (20.8%), confirmed by the model with an edge of +14.9% and EV of +18.7%. However, no new bets are advised now as the under 3.5 goals position is already open or covered. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the under 0.5 goals option, which shows some edge but also risk, while other bets do not meet entry criteria. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 73