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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 10 4 6 6 - - - 1.4 - -
Away 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 - - - 2.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.2 1.67 7 1.1 2.1 1.33 2.05 1.8 8 1.08 26 1.01 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +7.9% | EV +16.2% | ROI -18.7% | n=222 | k=2.05
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.3% | EV -4.4% | ROI +8.7% | n=222 | k=1.33
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.2% | ROI -30.0% | n=222 | k=2.10
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -3.0% | EV -9.6% | ROI -40.9% | n=222 | k=3.20
AI-agent: At the 76th minute, the match between Bologna and Cagliari remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping 46% from pre-match levels, reflecting a clear market consensus. Bologna is more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, but historically, Cagliari showed stronger performance in similar situations. Historical data supports a total under 3.5 goals with a high success rate of 96.8% and a positive ROI of 21.1%. The model confirms this with a 14.9% edge and 18.7% expected value for under 3.5 goals, though no new bet is advised since this position is already covered. Top-4 markets suggest watching the under 0.5 goals option due to positive edge and EV, but no clear betting opportunity is confirmed. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet entry, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 76