Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	3	1	0	-	-	-	1.65	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	1	-	-	-	2.2	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.88	3.25	1.33	1.36	1.5	1.12	6	1.55	2.38	2.67	1.45	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +18.2% | ROI -3.4% | n=841 | k=3.25

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -5.3% | ROI +12.4% | n=841 | k=2.38

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.2% | ROI -1.5% | n=841 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -4.7% | ROI +9.8% | n=841 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At 21 minutes into the Como vs Napoli match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, with odds dropping 10% from pre-match levels, but the home team is showing more activity and shots recently. Historically, Napoli has a 29.7% chance to win in similar situations, though the historical ROI is negative and the check is weak. Our model suggests a potential value bet on an away win with an edge of +5.6% and EV of +18.2%, but this edge is just below the threshold to open a bet. The top-4 markets recommend watching the away win opportunity rather than placing a bet now, indicating a monitoring phase with controlled risk. Overall, the game is balanced but the home side is more active, so caution is advised before committing to a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 21