Match Replay

Step 17 of 64. Current minute: 24 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	3	1	0	-	-	-	1.62	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	1	-	-	-	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.88	3.4	1.3	1.36	1.5	1.14	5.5	1.6	2.3	3	1.4	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.9% | EV +20.1% | ROI -0.9% | n=779 | k=3.40

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.7% | ROI +13.7% | n=779 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.0% | ROI -1.0% | n=779 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.4% | ROI +8.5% | n=779 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 24 minutes, the match between Como and Napoli remains goalless with no cards shown. Market pressure is favoring a draw, with odds dropping 10% from pre-match levels, but the home side is showing more activity and shots recently. Historically, Napoli wins in similar situations about 29% of the time, but the historical edge is negative and the check is weak. Our model suggests a potential value bet on an away win with a 5.9% edge and 20.1% expected value, yet this is just below the threshold to open a bet. The top markets recommend watching the away win option rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised given the current balance and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 24