Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	3	3	1	-	-	-	1.62	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.75	3.4	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.17	5	1.7	2.1	3.4	1.33	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.4% | EV +18.5% | ROI -6.6% | n=688 | k=3.40

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -5.2% | ROI +10.5% | n=688 | k=2.10

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.3% | ROI -0.4% | n=688 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.2% | ROI +7.7% | n=688 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Como vs Napoli match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is favoring a draw, with odds dropping 14% from pre-match levels, but the home team is showing more attacking activity, especially in recent minutes. Historically, similar situations have favored the away team with a 27.5% probability, yet the historical ROI is negative, indicating weak reliability. The model currently suggests a Napoli win with a 5.4% edge and an expected value of +18.5%, but this edge is just below the threshold for placing a bet. Top-4 market signals recommend watching the away win opportunity rather than betting now, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than a firm entry due to the mixed signals and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 30