Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	4	6	2	-	-	-	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	2.42	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	2.4	4	1.22	1.5	1.5	1.28	3.75	2.3	1.6	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.3% | EV +21.0% | ROI +6.5% | n=447 | k=4.00

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.3% | ROI +7.7% | n=447 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -5.0% | ROI +6.3% | n=447 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.9% | EV -4.3% | ROI -17.8% | n=447 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 48 minutes with a 0-0 scoreline, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. The home team Como has been more active in shots and tempo recently, though the match remains balanced. Historical data from 447 similar matches indicates a 26.6% chance for an away win (Napoli), with a positive ROI of 6.5%, confirming a reliable historical edge. The best model suggestion is an away win at odds of 4.00, offering a 5.3% edge and 21% expected value, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold for a confident bet, so no stake is recommended yet. According to top markets, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than immediate entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 48