Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	14	4	10	3	-	-	-	1.48	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	2.6	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.6	2.2	4.75	1.17	1.61	1.44	1.45	2.67	3.1	1.35	8	1.08	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.2% | EV +24.5% | ROI +13.2% | n=340 | k=4.75

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +3.1% | EV +4.5% | ROI -13.0% | n=340 | k=1.45

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.5% | ROI +7.0% | n=340 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.5% | EV -4.1% | ROI -19.7% | n=340 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 59th minute with a 0-0 score in Como vs Napoli, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 31% from pre-match levels. The home team is more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, while Napoli is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data from 340 similar matches indicates a 23.8% probability for an away win with a positive ROI of 13.2%, confirming a fair value at odds around 4.20. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at 4.75 odds with an edge of +5.2% and EV +24.5%, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold of 6.0%, so no bet is advised yet. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away win option as the best candidate, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 59