Match Replay

Step 53 of 64. Current minute: 78 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	5	11	3	-	-	-	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	2.75	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	1.53	7.5	1.08	2.38	1.25	2.35	1.62	11	1.05	2.1	1.7	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +31.4% | EV +53.4% | ROI +61.4% | n=217 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +12.0% | EV +28.2% | ROI -10.1% | n=217 | k=2.35

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.5% | ROI -23.4% | n=217 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -3.5% | EV -12.7% | ROI -33.6% | n=217 | k=3.60

AI-agent: At 78 minutes with a 0-0 scoreline, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels and clear market pressure. Como is showing more attacking activity in this close game, especially in the recent phase, while Napoli is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data supports under 2.5 goals with a 94.9% probability and a strong ROI of 61.4%. The model identifies under 2.5 goals as the best option with a 31.4% edge and 53.4% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk management advises monitoring the match further before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 78