Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	16	5	11	3	-	-	-	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.4	9.5	1.06	2.75	1.22	2.8	1.45	17	1.02	2.1	1.7	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +31.4% | EV +53.4% | ROI +61.7% | n=204 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +14.3% | EV +40.1% | ROI -2.5% | n=204 | k=2.80

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.2% | EV -3.2% | ROI -17.8% | n=204 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -3.1% | EV -12.4% | ROI -27.5% | n=204 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, the score remains 0-0 between Como and Napoli in Serie A. Market pressure favors a draw, with the odds for under 2.5 goals dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting a strong market consensus. The home team is more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, while historical data supports under 2.5 goals with a 95% probability and a solid ROI of 61.7%. Although the model shows a strong edge and expected value for under 2.5 goals at 1.70 odds, the entry conditions based on current score and match dynamics are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than betting, emphasizing risk control in this tight and balanced game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378206 | minute: 81