Match Replay

Step 39 of 50. Current minute: 78 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	2	7	8	-	2.42	1.19	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	2	-	-	-	-	4.5	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.06	10	67	1	1.06	10	-	-	1.93	1.93	6	1.12	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.7% | EV +5.7% | ROI +32.7% | n=54 | k=1.52

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.4% | ROI -0.2% | n=54 | k=1.92

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.6% | EV -5.1% | ROI -7.3% | n=54 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -8.5% | ROI -44.4% | n=54 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At the 78th minute with Inter leading 1-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 16% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Inter's dominance in shots and pressure aligns with the score and resembles their previous encounter on 07.01.2026, where Parma led 1-0 at this stage but lost 0-2. Historical data for similar situations shows a 33.3% chance for a draw or away win (X2) with a strong ROI of +233.3%. The model indicates a promising edge (+24.3%) and expected value (+242.9%) for an X2 bet at odds of 10.00, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not yet met. Among top markets, a cautious watch on Asian Handicap Away +1.5 is advised, while other options show negative expected returns. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control and patience.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 78