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Match Replay

Step 40 of 50. Current minute: 78 .
Italy | Serie A | Inter - Parma | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Inter 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 9 2 7 8 - 1.6 1.19 - - -
Away 0 0 0 3 0 3 2 - - - - 4.5 2.3
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 41 351 1.04 1.1 4.33 - - 1.14 5.5 2.05 1.8 7 1.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +56.3% | EV +309.7% | ROI +164.8% | n=54 | k=5.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.2% | EV +97.1% | ROI +100.2% | n=54 | k=2.30
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.0% | ROI +63.3% | n=54 | k=1.80
4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.4% | EV -10.3% | ROI +44.4% | n=54 | k=4.33
AI-agent: At 78 minutes, Inter leads Parma 1-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Inter, with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and pressure in the recent phase. The current gameplay aligns closely with their previous meeting, where Inter was trailing at this stage but won 2-0. Historical data on similar situations suggests a high value bet on Under 1.5 goals, showing a 48.1% win probability and a strong ROI of 164.8%. The model identifies Under 1.5 goals as the best candidate with a 56.3% edge and expected value over 300%, but the entry conditions are not fully met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching Under 1.5 goals and Asian Handicap Away +1.5 as promising options, but no mandatory bets are advised now. This is a monitoring phase to control risk rather than a clear betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 78