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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Parma | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 58'   —   Inter 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.85 1.16 - - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 - - - - 5.25 2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 9.5 41 1 1.06 9 - - 1.38 3 2.67 1.45 6.5 1.11
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.4% | EV +8.8% | ROI +37.9% | n=87 | k=2.00
2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -4.9% | ROI +5.9% | n=87 | k=1.38
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -8.9% | ROI +1.5% | n=87 | k=2.67
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -4.4% | ROI -10.0% | n=87 | k=1.45
AI-agent: At the 58th minute, Inter leads Parma 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by an 11% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Inter's dominance in shots and tempo. The current play mirrors their recent meeting, where Parma led 1-0 at this stage but lost 0-2. Historical data supports a double chance on Parma (X2) with a strong ROI of 169%, though the model's entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. Among top markets, a cautious watch on Asian Handicap Away +1.5 is recommended, while other options show negative expected value, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 58