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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Parma | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Inter 1:0 Parma
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 9 2 7 7 - 2.38 1.19 - - -
Away 0 0 0 3 0 3 2 - - - - 4.5 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.06 10 51 1 1.06 10 - - 1.82 2.02 5.5 1.14 19 1.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.4% | EV +6.8% | ROI +34.9% | n=54 | k=1.55
2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.8% | ROI -5.4% | n=54 | k=1.82
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.4% | ROI -2.5% | n=54 | k=2.02
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -9.1% | ROI -49.1% | n=54 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At 78 minutes with Inter leading 1-0, the market favors the home side, reflecting their dominance in shots and pressure in the final phase. Historical data shows a moderate edge for the away team double chance (X2) with a 33.3% probability and strong ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away handicap +1.5 as the best option with positive expected value and ROI, while other lines show no betting value. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, considering the match tempo and score.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 78