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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Parma | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Inter 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 10 3 7 8 - 1.6 1.19 - - -
Away 0 0 0 3 0 3 2 - - - - 4.5 2.3
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 41 351 1.04 1.1 4.33 - - 1.14 5.5 2.2 1.7 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +56.1% | EV +308.5% | ROI +164.8% | n=54 | k=5.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.7% | EV +95.9% | ROI +100.2% | n=54 | k=2.30
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.1% | ROI +54.3% | n=54 | k=1.70
4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.4% | EV -10.3% | ROI +44.4% | n=54 | k=4.33
AI-agent: At 78 minutes with Inter leading 1-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflecting their dominance in shots and pressure in the recent phase. The current play closely matches the previous encounter where Parma led 1-0 at this stage but lost 0-2. Historical data for under 1.5 goals at this point shows a balanced outcome with a positive ROI of 164.8%, supporting the potential value of this bet. The model identifies under 1.5 goals as the best candidate with a high edge and expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met given the match tempo and score, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with promising signals but requires caution and risk control before committing stakes.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 78