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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Parma | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 11'   —   Inter 0:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 - 1.7 - - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 6 11 1.05 1.12 3.75 1.02 17 1.2 4.5 1.61 2.3 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +34.5% | EV +129.2% | ROI +144.1% | n=530 | k=3.75
2) Watch | DRAW | Edge +11.4% | EV +68.7% | ROI +75.5% | n=530 | k=6.00
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +13.5% | EV +28.4% | ROI +74.3% | n=530 | k=2.10
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.4% | ROI +12.0% | n=530 | k=2.30
AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Inter vs Parma match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is shifting towards Parma, with their odds dropping 15% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market confidence in the away side. Inter, the pre-match favorite, maintains dominance in shots and recent play, but both teams are slower compared to their last encounter on January 7, 2026, which ended 0-2 to Parma. Historical data supports a double chance on Parma or draw (X2) with a 65.1% win rate and strong ROI of 144.1%. The model shows a positive edge (+34.5%) and expected value (+129.2%) for X2 at odds of 3.75, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with the best potential bet being X2, while other options like draw or away handicap +1.5 also show positive value. Under 2.5 goals is not recommended due to negative expected value.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378208 | minute: 11