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Match Replay

Step 11 of 73. Current minute: 14 .
Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 14'   —   Sassuolo 1:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 - - - 1.8 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 2.2 2.05 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.4 3.6 2.75 1.4 1.25 1.5 - - 1.06 10 1.3 3.5 1.98 1.88
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.0% | EV +42.9% | ROI +47.8% | n=365 | k=1.65
2) Watch | HOME | Edge +12.2% | EV +29.2% | ROI +49.3% | n=365 | k=2.40
3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +8.1% | EV +11.4% | ROI +15.5% | n=365 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI +9.4% | n=365 | k=1.88
AI-agent: At 14 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 47% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows more attacking intent and shots, while Milan underperforms compared to their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1 bet with a 93.5% win rate and 47.8% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the home handicap +1 as the best option, though this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised given the evolving match tempo and scoreline.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 14