Match Replay

Step 14 of 73. Current minute: 18 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	1.73	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	2.2	2.08	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	3.6	2.88	1.36	1.25	1.53	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.8% | EV +44.3% | ROI +48.5% | n=410 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.9% | EV +27.3% | ROI +40.8% | n=410 | k=2.30

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +7.4% | EV +10.0% | ROI +13.0% | n=410 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI +4.5% | n=410 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 18 minutes into the match, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 49% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage in shots and tempo. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo, showing a 93.9% win rate and a 48.5% ROI over 410 similar matches. The model identifies a +26.8% edge and +44.3% expected value on this bet at 1.65 odds, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase with promising signals, not a mandatory stake opportunity, and risk should be managed accordingly.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 18