Match Replay

Step 24 of 73. Current minute: 31 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	0	-	2.35	1.68	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.15	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.5	8.5	1.07	1.18	3	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +53.9% | ROI +49.9% | n=492 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.3% | ROI +7.9% | n=492 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.7% | EV -8.0% | ROI +15.0% | n=492 | k=2.15

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -4.4% | ROI -0.1% | n=492 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 31 minutes in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 70% drop in odds from pre-match levels despite Milan being the initial favorite. Sassuolo shows more shots and activity compared to previous encounters, while Milan is underperforming. Historical data strongly supports a home handicap +1 bet with a 95.1% win rate and nearly 50% ROI, but the model has not triggered a confirmed entry due to current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the home handicap +1 option for now, as it offers a significant edge and expected value, but this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised given the match tempo and scoreline balance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 31