Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	2.35	1.65	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.2	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.5	9.5	1.06	1.18	3	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +54.0% | ROI +50.9% | n=500 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.3% | ROI +8.7% | n=500 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.7% | EV -6.0% | ROI +17.2% | n=500 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -5.1% | ROI -4.7% | n=500 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At 35 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 70% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows more shots and higher tempo compared to Milan, who are underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1 with a 95.3% win rate and over 50% ROI, though the model's entry conditions are not yet fully met for a bet. The top markets suggest watching the home +1 handicap as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised given the current match dynamics and model rules.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 35