Match Replay

Step 33 of 73. Current minute: 43 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	2.38	1.65	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.2	1.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4.5	10	1.06	1.18	3.25	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.88	1.98	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +54.1% | ROI +53.1% | n=483 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.4% | EV +6.8% | ROI +12.0% | n=483 | k=1.55

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.0% | EV -6.5% | ROI +21.4% | n=483 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI +5.5% | n=483 | k=1.98

AI-agent: At 43 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Sassuolo, reflected by a 70% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with their shot dominance and recent match tempo. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Sassuolo with a 96.7% win rate and a 53.1% ROI, confirming the value of this bet. However, the model has not triggered a bet entry yet due to current score and match dynamics. This is a watch situation with a promising edge of +32.8% and expected value of +54.1%, but caution is advised before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 43