Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	3	8	1	-	1.27	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	3.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.03	15	41	1	1.03	13	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.8% | EV +95.0% | ROI +17.6% | n=160 | k=3.55

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +63.0% | n=160 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.2% | EV +40.5% | ROI +41.4% | n=160 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -2.9% | ROI +0.6% | n=160 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 60th minute, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0, with the market strongly favoring the home side as their odds have dropped significantly since pre-match. Sassuolo is showing more attacking pressure and shots, reflecting the current scoreline and surpassing previous head-to-head benchmarks, while Milan is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a home handicap +1 bet with a 100% win rate and a high ROI of 63%. Although the model identifies a promising edge of +33.1% and expected value of +54.6% on this bet, the entry conditions based on score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met yet. The top-4 markets suggest watching the home handicap +1 or away +1.5 options, but no mandatory bet is advised now, so this remains a monitoring opportunity with controlled risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 60