Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	1.19	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	4.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	81	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.5% | EV +110.4% | ROI +26.9% | n=156 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +64.2% | n=156 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.0% | EV +45.4% | ROI +50.0% | n=156 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI -2.5% | n=156 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 75 minutes in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 77% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows more shots and activity compared to Milan, although recent play lacks sustained dominance. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo with a 100% win rate in similar situations and a 64.2% ROI. The model identifies AH_HOME+1 at 1.65 odds with a 33.1% edge and 54.6% expected value, but entry conditions are not fully met yet. Top-4 markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1.5 and AH_HOME+1 with positive edges, while under 2.5 goals is not recommended. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management given the current score and match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 75